Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion
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Expires:No;;301782
AXNT20 KNHC 081743
TWDAT 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Feb 8 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
1800 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Western and Central Atlantic Gale Warnings/Significant Swell: A
cold front extends from 31N55W to the northern Bahamas. Gale- 
force W winds of up to 45 kt are occurring N of 27N between 50W 
and 71W. Seas within the area of gales have built to 25 to 30 ft. 
Very rough seas in excess of 12 ft extend well S of the gale area 
due to expansive, significant NW swell, within an area of strong 
mainly W winds, N of 23N between 35W and 77W. Widespread gale- 
force to near storm-force winds will impact waters W of the front,
north of 27N and east of 70W into Mon, when the front will reach 
a 31N48W to Leeward Islands line. Gale- force winds behind the 
front will diminish to fresh to strong speeds by early Tue 
morning. Very rough seas generated by these winds will propagate 
SE and impact much of the waters N of 18N through mid-week, with 
peak seas of 33 ft possible from 30N to Bermuda this afternoon. 
The very rough seas are likely to finally diminish below 12 ft 
Wed. 

Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts 
issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more details on
these events.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Liberia near 06.5N11W and extends southwestward to near 03N18W, 
where it transitions to the ITCZ that continues to 00N47W. 
Scattered moderate convection is S of 03N between 34W and 47W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A dissipating stationary front extends from the Yucatan Channel 
to the upper Texas coast. High pressure dominates on both sides of
the boundary, with a 1023 mb high centered near 24N92W. NE of the
front, Moderate E to NE winds and 3 to 5 ft seas prevail, with 
light to gentle winds and slight seas to the SW. 

For the forecast, high pressure will dominate the Gulf waters 
through at least the middle of week, bringing gentle to moderate 
winds across the eastern half of the Gulf, and moderate to fresh 
southerly winds across the western half of the basin. Slight to 
moderate seas will prevail. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA... 

A dissipating cold front runs from the Windward Passage to the
waters between Jamaica and Grand Cayman to the Yucatan Channel.
Fresh to strong NE winds and 5-8 ft seas are ongoing between 75W
and 83W, confirmed via scatterometer and altimeter data. 
Elsewhere across the basin, moderate to fresh NE winds are present
with 2-5 ft seas.

For the forecast, a weakening stationary extending from the 
Leeward Islands to the coast of Colombia near 11N74W will be 
reinforced by a cold front later today, with the combined front 
sliding east of the Leeward Islands Mon. Winds will increase in 
the wake of the front, becoming strong initially offshore Colombia
and Hispaniola tonight, then expanding to much of the central 
Caribbean Mon through Wed, as high pressure in the western 
Atlantic builds southward toward the area. Rough seas will 
accompany these strong winds. In addition, large NW to N swell 
will impact the Mona Passage, Anegada Passage, and tropical N 
Atlantic waters tonight into Wed. 

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please see the Special Features section for details on a Gale
Warning and significant swell in the western and central 
Atlantic.

A dissipating stationary front extends from near 31N44W to the 
Leeward Islands. Another dissipating cold front is analyzed from 
near 31N52W to the Windward Passage. Scattered showers are seen 
along the dissipating stationary front. Outside of the gales
described above, strong to near gale-force winds are confirmed by
scatterometer data N of 24N between 35W and 75W. Rough seas also
cover a large area N of 20N between 30W and 78W. Much of the
remaining Atlantic waters S of 20N are dominated by moderate to
fresh trades and moderate seas, with locally fresh to strong winds
near Cabo Verde. To the N of 20N and E of 35W, winds are gentle to
moderate or weaker with moderate seas due to a 1027 mb high near
28N23W. 

For the forecast W of 55W, gale-force winds are ongoing N of 27N 
behind a cold front that extends from around 31N52W TO 20N74W. 
These gales will spread east as the front progresses, and continue
impacting northern waters through Mon. This front will merge with
a stationary front that is over the SE waters tonight, then move 
E of the area by Mon night, allowing winds to gradually diminish. 
Very rough seas will impact most of the waters E of 77W through 
Tue, with peak seas along 30N, SE of Bermuda, exceeding 30 ft 
through tonight.

$$ 
Adams